EW003 $|V_{cb}|_{\,\text{inclusive}\,} \,\text{vs}\, |V_{cb}|_{\,\text{exclusive}\,}; |V_{ub}|_{\,\text{inclusive}\,} \,\text{vs}\, |V_{ub}|_{\,\text{exclusive}\,}$

$|V_{cb}|$ and $|V_{ub}|$ inclusive-exclusive semileptonic tensions
Status REVIEWED VERIFIED High Code: PARTIAL Priority Low

Why this constrains the RS scan

The present scan fits CKM observables as output of anarchic quark masses, so the inclusive--exclusive split is a diagnostic for how much CKM target choice can move flavor predictions. In an RS extension with non-SM charged-current operators, the same observables also set the normalization for \(b\to c\) and \(b\to u\) semitauonic Wilson-coefficient fits.

What's changed since the original paper

Relative to arXiv:0804.1954, the main change is not a new RS formula but a new input ecosystem. Belle, Belle II, BaBar, and LHCb now feed HFLAV averages; inclusive \(|V_{cb}|\) uses mature kinetic and \(q^2\)-moment heavy-quark expansion fits; and FLAG 2024 provides full-recoil lattice-plus-experiment fits for \(B\to D^{(*)}\ell\nu\) and \(B\to\pi\ell\nu\). The same period also turned \(R(D^{(*)})\), \(B_c\to\tau\nu\), and \(B\to(\pi,\rho,\omega)\tau\nu\) into standard charged-current EFT interpretation channels.

Validity and model dependence

For \(e,\mu\) final states these are CKM extraction inputs, not clean standalone BSM exclusions. Inclusive values depend on heavy-quark expansion schemes and shape-function/model choices, while exclusive values depend on lattice form factors, parameterization choices, and experimental correlations. Tau-mode translations are more model dependent because vector, scalar, and tensor operators can change both rates and templates.

Code coverage in this repo

PARTIAL. CKM target handling exists, including \(|V_{cb}|\) and \(|V_{ub}|\) tolerances at quarkConstraints/scan.py:42, quarkConstraints/scan.py:46, quarkConstraints/scan.py:47, quarkConstraints/scan.py:52, and the regression check at tests/test\_quark\_fit.py:575. No grep hit implements inclusive or exclusive semileptonic \(B\) rates, \(B\to D^{(*)}\ell\nu\), \(B\to\pi\ell\nu\), or \(b\to c/u\,\tau\nu\) WET operators in quarkConstraints/, qcd/, flavorConstraints/, neutrinos/, yukawa/, warpConfig/, solvers/, scanParams/, or tests/.

Linked evidence (opens GitHub blob at flavor-catalog-website/2026q2):

Implementation difficulty

HIGH. A production constraint would need a new charged-current semileptonic likelihood, scheme handling for inclusive extractions, lattice form-factor inputs for exclusive modes, and optional \(b\to c/u\,\tau\nu\) Wilson operators. This is outside the existing \(\Delta F=2\) basis.

Reason: A live EW003 constraint needs a new charged-current semileptonic likelihood, inclusive-scheme handling, exclusive lattice form-factor inputs, and optional $b \to c/u \tau \nu$ WET operator matching. This is not covered by the existing $\Delta F = 2$ SLL/SLR/VLL/VRR/LR1/LR2 machinery.

Key references

pdg\_2024\_vcb\_vub; hflav\_2023\_semileptonic\_report; flag\_2024\_b\_semileptonic\_lattice; iguro\_2024\_bc\_tau\_global\_fit; bhatta\_2021\_bu\_tau\_np; cfw\_2008\_rs\_flavor\_baseline.
Source SHAs
6 snapshot(s) tracked in flavor_catalog/processes/top_higgs_ew/EW003.yaml
Access dates
2026-05-16
Worklog
flavor_catalog/worklogs/EW003/
LaTeX source
flavor_catalog/processes/top_higgs_ew/EW003.tex
Anchors generated
2026-05-18T01:54:07Z

PDG 2024 |V_cb| inclusive

https://pdg.lbl.gov/2024/reviews/rpp2024-rev-vcb-vub.pdf
accessed 2026-05-16 sha 095c00ac3711... snapshot EW003/pdg_2024_vcb_vub.txt RESOLVED
value_uncertainty 42.2 +/- 0.5
RESOLVED
Match snapshot line 9
L6: Local snapshot policy: minimal text extract only; no publisher PDF tracked.
L7: 
L8: Extracted numerical values:
L9: - |Vcb| inclusive = (42.2 +/- 0.5) x 10^-3.
L10: - |Vcb| exclusive = (39.8 +/- 0.6) x 10^-3.
L11: - PDG average |Vcb| = (41.1 +/- 1.2) x 10^-3 after scale factor sqrt(chi2/1)=3.0; PDG cautions that the inclusive and exclusive determinations are marginally consistent, about 3.0 sigma.
L12: - |Vub| inclusive = (4.13 +/- 0.12_exp +0.13/-0.14_theo +/- 0.18_model) x 10^-3.

Snapshots live under flavor_catalog/references/<process_id>/. Source-line anchoring is automated; the status pill reflects match confidence, not editorial review.

PDG 2024 |V_cb| exclusive

https://pdg.lbl.gov/2024/reviews/rpp2024-rev-vcb-vub.pdf
accessed 2026-05-16 sha 095c00ac3711... snapshot EW003/pdg_2024_vcb_vub.txt RESOLVED
value_uncertainty 39.8 +/- 0.6
RESOLVED
Match snapshot line 10
L7: 
L8: Extracted numerical values:
L9: - |Vcb| inclusive = (42.2 +/- 0.5) x 10^-3.
L10: - |Vcb| exclusive = (39.8 +/- 0.6) x 10^-3.
L11: - PDG average |Vcb| = (41.1 +/- 1.2) x 10^-3 after scale factor sqrt(chi2/1)=3.0; PDG cautions that the inclusive and exclusive determinations are marginally consistent, about 3.0 sigma.
L12: - |Vub| inclusive = (4.13 +/- 0.12_exp +0.13/-0.14_theo +/- 0.18_model) x 10^-3.
L13: - |Vub| exclusive = (3.70 +/- 0.10 +/- 0.12) x 10^-3.

Snapshots live under flavor_catalog/references/<process_id>/. Source-line anchoring is automated; the status pill reflects match confidence, not editorial review.

PDG 2024 |V_cb| scaled average

https://pdg.lbl.gov/2024/reviews/rpp2024-rev-vcb-vub.pdf
accessed 2026-05-16 sha 095c00ac3711... snapshot EW003/pdg_2024_vcb_vub.txt RESOLVED
value_uncertainty 41.1 +/- 1.2
RESOLVED
Match snapshot line 11
L8: Extracted numerical values:
L9: - |Vcb| inclusive = (42.2 +/- 0.5) x 10^-3.
L10: - |Vcb| exclusive = (39.8 +/- 0.6) x 10^-3.
L11: - PDG average |Vcb| = (41.1 +/- 1.2) x 10^-3 after scale factor sqrt(chi2/1)=3.0; PDG cautions that the inclusive and exclusive determinations are marginally consistent, about 3.0 sigma.
L12: - |Vub| inclusive = (4.13 +/- 0.12_exp +0.13/-0.14_theo +/- 0.18_model) x 10^-3.
L13: - |Vub| exclusive = (3.70 +/- 0.10 +/- 0.12) x 10^-3.
L14: - PDG average |Vub| = (3.82 +/- 0.20) x 10^-3 after scale factor sqrt(chi2/1)=1.4; p(chi2)=15%.

Snapshots live under flavor_catalog/references/<process_id>/. Source-line anchoring is automated; the status pill reflects match confidence, not editorial review.

PDG 2024 |V_ub| inclusive

https://pdg.lbl.gov/2024/reviews/rpp2024-rev-vcb-vub.pdf
accessed 2026-05-16 sha 095c00ac3711... snapshot EW003/pdg_2024_vcb_vub.txt RESOLVED
value 4.13
RESOLVED
Match snapshot line 12
L9: - |Vcb| inclusive = (42.2 +/- 0.5) x 10^-3.
L10: - |Vcb| exclusive = (39.8 +/- 0.6) x 10^-3.
L11: - PDG average |Vcb| = (41.1 +/- 1.2) x 10^-3 after scale factor sqrt(chi2/1)=3.0; PDG cautions that the inclusive and exclusive determinations are marginally consistent, about 3.0 sigma.
L12: - |Vub| inclusive = (4.13 +/- 0.12_exp +0.13/-0.14_theo +/- 0.18_model) x 10^-3.
L13: - |Vub| exclusive = (3.70 +/- 0.10 +/- 0.12) x 10^-3.
L14: - PDG average |Vub| = (3.82 +/- 0.20) x 10^-3 after scale factor sqrt(chi2/1)=1.4; p(chi2)=15%.
L15: - PDG also quotes |Vub|/|Vcb| = 0.098 +/- 0.006 inclusive and 0.093 +/- 0.004 exclusive.

Snapshots live under flavor_catalog/references/<process_id>/. Source-line anchoring is automated; the status pill reflects match confidence, not editorial review.

PDG 2024 |V_ub| exclusive

https://pdg.lbl.gov/2024/reviews/rpp2024-rev-vcb-vub.pdf
accessed 2026-05-16 sha 095c00ac3711... snapshot EW003/pdg_2024_vcb_vub.txt RESOLVED
value 3.7
RESOLVED
Match snapshot line 13
L10: - |Vcb| exclusive = (39.8 +/- 0.6) x 10^-3.
L11: - PDG average |Vcb| = (41.1 +/- 1.2) x 10^-3 after scale factor sqrt(chi2/1)=3.0; PDG cautions that the inclusive and exclusive determinations are marginally consistent, about 3.0 sigma.
L12: - |Vub| inclusive = (4.13 +/- 0.12_exp +0.13/-0.14_theo +/- 0.18_model) x 10^-3.
L13: - |Vub| exclusive = (3.70 +/- 0.10 +/- 0.12) x 10^-3.
L14: - PDG average |Vub| = (3.82 +/- 0.20) x 10^-3 after scale factor sqrt(chi2/1)=1.4; p(chi2)=15%.
L15: - PDG also quotes |Vub|/|Vcb| = 0.098 +/- 0.006 inclusive and 0.093 +/- 0.004 exclusive.
L16: 

Snapshots live under flavor_catalog/references/<process_id>/. Source-line anchoring is automated; the status pill reflects match confidence, not editorial review.

PDG 2024 |V_ub| scaled average

https://pdg.lbl.gov/2024/reviews/rpp2024-rev-vcb-vub.pdf
accessed 2026-05-16 sha 095c00ac3711... snapshot EW003/pdg_2024_vcb_vub.txt RESOLVED
value_uncertainty 3.82 +/- 0.2
RESOLVED
Match snapshot line 14
L11: - PDG average |Vcb| = (41.1 +/- 1.2) x 10^-3 after scale factor sqrt(chi2/1)=3.0; PDG cautions that the inclusive and exclusive determinations are marginally consistent, about 3.0 sigma.
L12: - |Vub| inclusive = (4.13 +/- 0.12_exp +0.13/-0.14_theo +/- 0.18_model) x 10^-3.
L13: - |Vub| exclusive = (3.70 +/- 0.10 +/- 0.12) x 10^-3.
L14: - PDG average |Vub| = (3.82 +/- 0.20) x 10^-3 after scale factor sqrt(chi2/1)=1.4; p(chi2)=15%.
L15: - PDG also quotes |Vub|/|Vcb| = 0.098 +/- 0.006 inclusive and 0.093 +/- 0.004 exclusive.
L16: 
L17: Relevance note:

Snapshots live under flavor_catalog/references/<process_id>/. Source-line anchoring is automated; the status pill reflects match confidence, not editorial review.

HFLAV 2023 preferred inclusive |V_cb|

https://arxiv.org/abs/2411.18639
accessed 2026-05-16 sha e063d36ade2f... snapshot EW003/hflav_2023_semileptonic_report.txt RESOLVED
value_uncertainty 41.97 +/- 0.48
RESOLVED
Match snapshot line 10
L7: 
L8: Extracted numerical values for semileptonic |Vxb|:
L9: - HFLAV semileptonic chapter uses experimental results generally available through autumn 2023.
L10: - Inclusive |Vcb| central value chosen by HFLAV from Finauri-Gambino q2-moment analysis: |Vcb| = (41.97 +/- 0.48) x 10^-3.
L11: - Alternative inclusive |Vcb| q2 analysis: |Vcb| = (41.69 +/- 0.63) x 10^-3.
L12: - Exclusive combined fit using Vub/Vcb constraints, B->pi l nu, B->D l nu, B->D* l nu, and Bs->Ds(*) mu nu: |Vub| = (3.43 +/- 0.12) x 10^-3 and |Vcb| = (39.77 +/- 0.46) x 10^-3, with rho(Vub,Vcb)=0.239.
L13: - The combined exclusive fit has chi2=3.9 for 1 degree of freedom, p(chi2)=4.8%.

Snapshots live under flavor_catalog/references/<process_id>/. Source-line anchoring is automated; the status pill reflects match confidence, not editorial review.

HFLAV 2023 combined exclusive |V_cb|

https://arxiv.org/abs/2411.18639
accessed 2026-05-16 sha e063d36ade2f... snapshot EW003/hflav_2023_semileptonic_report.txt RESOLVED
value_uncertainty 39.77 +/- 0.46
RESOLVED
Match snapshot line 12
L9: - HFLAV semileptonic chapter uses experimental results generally available through autumn 2023.
L10: - Inclusive |Vcb| central value chosen by HFLAV from Finauri-Gambino q2-moment analysis: |Vcb| = (41.97 +/- 0.48) x 10^-3.
L11: - Alternative inclusive |Vcb| q2 analysis: |Vcb| = (41.69 +/- 0.63) x 10^-3.
L12: - Exclusive combined fit using Vub/Vcb constraints, B->pi l nu, B->D l nu, B->D* l nu, and Bs->Ds(*) mu nu: |Vub| = (3.43 +/- 0.12) x 10^-3 and |Vcb| = (39.77 +/- 0.46) x 10^-3, with rho(Vub,Vcb)=0.239.
L13: - The combined exclusive fit has chi2=3.9 for 1 degree of freedom, p(chi2)=4.8%.
L14: - HFLAV states that the exclusive combined |Vub| differs from inclusive GGOU |Vub| = (4.06 +/- 0.12 +/- 0.11) x 10^-3 by about 3 sigma, and exclusive combined |Vcb| differs from inclusive |Vcb| = (41.97 +/- 0.48) x 10^-3 by more than 3 sigma.
L15: - Inclusive |Vub| framework comparison: BLNP = 4.25 +/- 0.13 +0.19/-0.19, DGE = 3.87 +/- 0.10 +0.09/-0.10, GGOU = 4.06 +/- 0.12 +0.11/-0.11, all in units of 10^-3.

Snapshots live under flavor_catalog/references/<process_id>/. Source-line anchoring is automated; the status pill reflects match confidence, not editorial review.

HFLAV 2023 combined exclusive |V_ub|

https://arxiv.org/abs/2411.18639
accessed 2026-05-16 sha e063d36ade2f... snapshot EW003/hflav_2023_semileptonic_report.txt RESOLVED
value_uncertainty 3.43 +/- 0.12
RESOLVED
Match snapshot line 12
L9: - HFLAV semileptonic chapter uses experimental results generally available through autumn 2023.
L10: - Inclusive |Vcb| central value chosen by HFLAV from Finauri-Gambino q2-moment analysis: |Vcb| = (41.97 +/- 0.48) x 10^-3.
L11: - Alternative inclusive |Vcb| q2 analysis: |Vcb| = (41.69 +/- 0.63) x 10^-3.
L12: - Exclusive combined fit using Vub/Vcb constraints, B->pi l nu, B->D l nu, B->D* l nu, and Bs->Ds(*) mu nu: |Vub| = (3.43 +/- 0.12) x 10^-3 and |Vcb| = (39.77 +/- 0.46) x 10^-3, with rho(Vub,Vcb)=0.239.
L13: - The combined exclusive fit has chi2=3.9 for 1 degree of freedom, p(chi2)=4.8%.
L14: - HFLAV states that the exclusive combined |Vub| differs from inclusive GGOU |Vub| = (4.06 +/- 0.12 +/- 0.11) x 10^-3 by about 3 sigma, and exclusive combined |Vcb| differs from inclusive |Vcb| = (41.97 +/- 0.48) x 10^-3 by more than 3 sigma.
L15: - Inclusive |Vub| framework comparison: BLNP = 4.25 +/- 0.13 +0.19/-0.19, DGE = 3.87 +/- 0.10 +0.09/-0.10, GGOU = 4.06 +/- 0.12 +0.11/-0.11, all in units of 10^-3.

Snapshots live under flavor_catalog/references/<process_id>/. Source-line anchoring is automated; the status pill reflects match confidence, not editorial review.

FLAG 2024 B -> D* l nu |V_cb|, Nf=2+1

https://arxiv.org/abs/2411.04268
accessed 2026-05-16 sha 6f400dee4a10... snapshot EW003/flag_2024_b_semileptonic_lattice.txt RESOLVED
value_uncertainty 39.23(65)
RESOLVED
Match snapshot line 12
L9: - FLAG 2024 B->pi l nu exclusive average: |Vub| = (3.61 +/- 0.16) x 10^-3 for Nf=2+1.
L10: - FLAG 2024 B->(pi l nu, tau nu) exclusive average: |Vub| = (3.63 +/- 0.16) x 10^-3 for Nf=2+1.
L11: - FLAG 2024 B->D l nu exclusive average: |Vcb| = 40.0(1.0) x 10^-3 for Nf=2+1.
L12: - FLAG 2024 B->D* l nu exclusive averages: |Vcb| = 39.23(65) x 10^-3 for Nf=2+1 and |Vcb| = 39.44(89) x 10^-3 for Nf=2+1+1.
L13: - FLAG 2024 exclusive global fit shown in the |Vub|-|Vcb| plane: (|Vcb|, |Vub|) = (39.46 +/- 0.53, 3.60 +/- 0.14) x 10^-3 with p-value 0.66.
L14: - FLAG 2024 comparison inclusive point: (|Vcb|, |Vub|)_incl = (42.16 +/- 0.51, 4.13 +/- 0.26) x 10^-3.
L15: 

Snapshots live under flavor_catalog/references/<process_id>/. Source-line anchoring is automated; the status pill reflects match confidence, not editorial review.

FLAG 2024 B -> pi l nu |V_ub|, Nf=2+1

https://arxiv.org/abs/2411.04268
accessed 2026-05-16 sha 6f400dee4a10... snapshot EW003/flag_2024_b_semileptonic_lattice.txt RESOLVED
value_uncertainty 3.61 +/- 0.16
RESOLVED
Match snapshot line 9
L6: Local snapshot policy: minimal text extract from arXiv source; no publisher PDF tracked.
L7: 
L8: Extracted numerical values:
L9: - FLAG 2024 B->pi l nu exclusive average: |Vub| = (3.61 +/- 0.16) x 10^-3 for Nf=2+1.
L10: - FLAG 2024 B->(pi l nu, tau nu) exclusive average: |Vub| = (3.63 +/- 0.16) x 10^-3 for Nf=2+1.
L11: - FLAG 2024 B->D l nu exclusive average: |Vcb| = 40.0(1.0) x 10^-3 for Nf=2+1.
L12: - FLAG 2024 B->D* l nu exclusive averages: |Vcb| = 39.23(65) x 10^-3 for Nf=2+1 and |Vcb| = 39.44(89) x 10^-3 for Nf=2+1+1.

Snapshots live under flavor_catalog/references/<process_id>/. Source-line anchoring is automated; the status pill reflects match confidence, not editorial review.

PDG 2024 |V_cb| inclusive-exclusive marginal consistency

https://pdg.lbl.gov/2024/reviews/rpp2024-rev-vcb-vub.pdf
accessed 2026-05-16 sha 095c00ac3711... snapshot EW003/pdg_2024_vcb_vub.txt RESOLVED
value 3.0
RESOLVED
Match snapshot line 11
L8: Extracted numerical values:
L9: - |Vcb| inclusive = (42.2 +/- 0.5) x 10^-3.
L10: - |Vcb| exclusive = (39.8 +/- 0.6) x 10^-3.
L11: - PDG average |Vcb| = (41.1 +/- 1.2) x 10^-3 after scale factor sqrt(chi2/1)=3.0; PDG cautions that the inclusive and exclusive determinations are marginally consistent, about 3.0 sigma.
L12: - |Vub| inclusive = (4.13 +/- 0.12_exp +0.13/-0.14_theo +/- 0.18_model) x 10^-3.
L13: - |Vub| exclusive = (3.70 +/- 0.10 +/- 0.12) x 10^-3.
L14: - PDG average |Vub| = (3.82 +/- 0.20) x 10^-3 after scale factor sqrt(chi2/1)=1.4; p(chi2)=15%.

Snapshots live under flavor_catalog/references/<process_id>/. Source-line anchoring is automated; the status pill reflects match confidence, not editorial review.